Seachange International Stock Performance

SEAC Stock  USD 3.55  0.05  1.43%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, SeaChange International holds a performance score of 5. The entity has a beta of 0.13, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, SeaChange International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding SeaChange International is expected to be smaller as well. Please check SeaChange International's total risk alpha, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and treynor ratio , to make a quick decision on whether SeaChange International's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SeaChange International are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, SeaChange International exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

SeaChange International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  325.00  in SeaChange International on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  30.00  from holding SeaChange International or generate 9.23% return on investment over 90 days. SeaChange International is currently generating 0.7552% in daily expected returns and assumes 11.61% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than SeaChange, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SeaChange International is expected to generate 15.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 15.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

SeaChange International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of SeaChange OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.55 90 days 3.55 
about 53.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SeaChange International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.82 (This SeaChange International probability density function shows the probability of SeaChange OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SeaChange International has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SeaChange International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SeaChange International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SeaChange International has an alpha of 0.7834, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SeaChange International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SeaChange International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SeaChange International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.5515.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4515.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.2815.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.873.485.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SeaChange International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SeaChange International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SeaChange International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SeaChange International.

SeaChange International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SeaChange International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SeaChange International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SeaChange International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SeaChange International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

SeaChange International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SeaChange International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SeaChange International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SeaChange International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SeaChange International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.46 M.
SeaChange International currently holds about 14.34 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.

SeaChange International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SeaChange OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SeaChange International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SeaChange International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.7 M

SeaChange International Fundamentals Growth

SeaChange OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SeaChange International, and SeaChange International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SeaChange OTC Stock performance.

About SeaChange International Performance

By analyzing SeaChange International's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into SeaChange International's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if SeaChange International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if SeaChange International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
SeaChange International, Inc. provides multiscreen, advertising, and premium over the top video products and services that facilitate the aggregation, licensing, management, and distribution of video and advertising content worldwide. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Sea Change operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 101 people.

Things to note about SeaChange International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about SeaChange International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for SeaChange International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SeaChange International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SeaChange International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.46 M.
SeaChange International currently holds about 14.34 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.
Evaluating SeaChange International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate SeaChange International's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing SeaChange International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SeaChange International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining SeaChange International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating SeaChange International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SeaChange International's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SeaChange International's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into SeaChange International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating SeaChange International's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact SeaChange International's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for SeaChange OTC Stock analysis

When running SeaChange International's price analysis, check to measure SeaChange International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SeaChange International is operating at the current time. Most of SeaChange International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SeaChange International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SeaChange International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SeaChange International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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